The Premier League is really hotting up with teams dropping in and out of form, and several unpredictable results. To help make your betting slip a bit more predictable, our experts have been scouring the stats to find some great value bets for you to use in the next round of the season.
Liverpool have not scored before half-time at Anfield in their last 4 games
The early season promise shown by Liverpool could be in danger of fading away if Jurgen Klopp’s men fail to turn things around quickly. They are yet to win in the Premier League in 2017, and with defeats in both legs of their League Cup semi-final against Southampton, and an FA Cup defeat to Wolves thrown into the mix, Liverpool fans will be starting to worry. Sadio Mane has proved to be a significant loss while he has been away on duty at the African Cup of Nations but his impending return is a welcome boost.
Liverpool face the unenviable task of playing in-form Chelsea, who have won 14 of the last 15 Premier League matches. Questions were asked of them after their defeat to Tottenham, but they look to have got the ball rolling once again, with routine victories against Leicester and Hull in their last two outings.
However, Jurgen Klopp has shown that he is skilled in preparing for these big matches. Liverpool are yet to lose against a top 6 rival this season (Won 3, Drawn 3), so this is expected to be a closely-fought affair.
Suggested bet: 0-0 HT Score @ 9/4 (William Hill)*
Claudio Bravo has conceded from 16 of the last 24 shots on target he has faced in the Premier League
Pep Guardiola has started to show signs that he is feeling the pressure of life in the Premier League. The 4-0 defeat away to Everton was clearly the low point of his Man City reign, and he sought to change that in dramatic fashion against in-form Tottenham.
Playing one of the most attacking lineups you’ll ever see, with Aguero supported by Sane, De Bruyne, Silva & Sterling, Guardiola had clearly decided that defence was the best form of attack. For 58 minutes, it looked to be paying off as Manchester City swamped the Tottenham defence and took a 2-0 lead. Manchester City looked blistering going forward, and back to their best. But at the moment, every shot they face seems to hit the back of the net, and you have to be wondering how long Guardiola will persist with Claudio Bravo. Every shot on target produced by Everton and Tottenham in the last two matches has resulted in a goal.
For West Ham, their long-running issues in the striker position have eased with the return of Andy Carroll. Given the unique physical threat that he provides and the crosses West Ham will try to supply him with, Claudio Bravo faces another stern test between the sticks.
Suggested bet: Andy Carroll anytime scorer 13/5 (Paddy Power)*
Arsenal have scored 12 headed goals this season in the Premier League, more than any other side
Arsenal were perhaps fortunate to earn the 3 points at home to Burnley last time out, but they have responded to their poor December form with 3 wins and 1 draw so far this year in the Premier League.
Their home match against struggling Watford looks like it should be a routine victory, with the Horns registering just one win since the beginning of December.
A big factor in Arsenals resurgent form is the return of Olivier Giroud to the starting lineup. The Frenchman has scored 5 goals in his last 6 matches for the Gunners. It is perhaps surprising that they have scored the largest amount of headers in the Premier League so far this season, but with Ozil delivering crosses and the aerial presence possessed by the likes of Giroud, the threat is clear to see.
Suggested bet: Giroud First Goalscorer 11/4 (Paddy Power)*
11 of the last 12 Premier League goals scored by Tottenham players have been netted by either Dele Alli (6) or Harry Kane (5)
Tottenham are in great form, and although they struggled against Manchester City, a draw now looks a big result in the context of the match. Perhaps the two most major reasons for their great run is the form of both Dele Alli and Harry Kane who have been hitting the back of the net with ease.
Despite missing 2 months of Premier League Football, Harry Kane is now 2 goals shy of the league’s top goalscorer, Alexis Sanchez. Kane now has 13 goals in 16 Premier League appearances.
Tottenham have won 6 of their last 7 matches, and have scored 21 goals in the process, which will be of great concern for Sunderland boss David Moyes.
The Black Cats have conceded 18 goals in the last 8 games which points to this being an uphill battle against the league’s most free-scoring team over the same period. Only Swansea (20) have conceded more goals than Sunderland during this run of games.
Suggested bet: Harry Kane to Score 2 or more goals 7/2 (PaddyPower)*
37 – Leicester have already conceded more goals this season than they did in the whole of 2015-16 (36)
Premier League title holders Leicester face the ultimate fall from grace and look like they could be dragged into a relegation battle unless they turn their form around quickly. Their success last season was built on a resolute defence that N’Golo Kante worked tirelessly to protect. Kante has been a huge loss, while the attacking double act of Vardy and Mahrez have failed to hit the same heights.
Leicester have lost their last two Premier League matches 3-0 (vs. Southampton and Chelsea) and are struggling to replicate their fantastic Champions League form. It is their away form in particular that is most worrying for Claudio Ranieri, as they have picked up just 3 points on their travels all season – drawing 3 and losing 8.
Their visit to Burnley is much trickier than it looks, as Sean Dyche’s team have the 4th best home record in the Premier League so far, which is a fantastic achievement. To put that into perspective, they have better home form than Manchester United, Manchester City, Liverpool and Everton. They are on a run of 4 wins in a row at Turf Moor.
Suggested bet: Burnley win 19/10 @ (Matchbook)*
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*All odds are taken from the time of writing and can be subject to change.