Aberdeen overperformed the most in the Scottish Premiership 2022/2023 season

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The Scottish Championship has just ended, with Celtic being crowned champions, which was written in the stars for a long time. 

In this article, however, we take a deeper look at not only the actual results, but also take a look at how the season could have gone. 

We’ve collected data based on expected goals for and against, which has ultimately resulted in a table of justice. 

You may have asked yourself the question: Were Celtic really as dominant as it looked, and are there any teams that finished better or worse than they perhaps should have?

We will give you all the information that you are looking for in this article. 

First of all, you might know that the Scottish Premiership separates the top six and the bottom six during the season, which is why we can see some odd results in the table. 


Aberdeen overperformed the most

Again, as you might notice, Aberdeen is placed as number three but according to the Table of Justice they are just number seven, which basically is impossible because they qualified for the championship rounds. But it does tell us after all that they have overperformed during this season. In fact, they are the team that has overperformed the most in this season. 

You might also notice that Celtic actually has overperformed quite drastically even though they also, according to the Table of Justice, deserve to win the title. 

It can always be discussed whether a team is overperforming due to luck or individual quality, but we can conclude that RangersĀ“ performances were quite good and with a bit luck they could have won.

Livingston should have been relegated

If we take a look in the bottom six, it's quite obvious that Livingston are the team that has overperformed the most. In fact, they should have been relegated. 

Motherwell are actually number four in the Table of Justice, but here we need to take into account, once again, that they have played against some opponents of lower quality in contrast to Aberdeen who have faced the top teams almost every week. 

So, did you get a better idea of how the different teams performed on the underlying data? Hopefully, this also reminds us that some teams might be worried or confident ahead of the next season.

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